STOP
GUESSING

AI-powered NRL, NBA and NFL picks backed by real probability models. Value only. No lock of the century BS.

$49
Per Month  ·  Cancel Anytime
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3 Sports
Covered
AI Powered
Model
100% Transparent
Results
// What You Get
EVERY
EDGE
EXPOSED
🏉

NRL, NBA + NFL Picks

3–4 picks per week across all three sports. Only posted when the model finds genuine edge.

📊

Real Probability Models

Every pick shows win probability %, fair odds, and edge over Sportsbet. You know exactly why we're posting.

⚡

SGM Value Picks

Same-game multis built using Monte Carlo simulation with correlation adjustments.

🎯

Player Prop Analysis

NRL tryscorer, NBA points/threes/rebounds/assists/blocks, NFL touchdowns and yardage — all modelled.

📅

Consistent Posting Schedule

NRL Thursday night. NBA morning of game. Results every Monday. No surprises.

// Sample Pick Card
NBA · ECF GAME 2
SAN ANTONIO
VS
OKLAHOMA CITY
4-LEG SAME GAME MULTI
SHARPIQ AU MODELDATA
1
Thunder — Head to Head
Home court. Must win.
2
Jalen Williams 15+ points
80% hit rate. Avg 20 last 5.
3
Julian Champagnie 2+ Threes
90% hit rate last 10.
4
Chet Holmgren 8+ Rebounds
80% hit rate. Last 4 of 5.
SGM ODDS
⚡ MODEL CONFIDENCE: HIGH
$4.00
Check Sportsbet for live SGM odds
SHARPIQ AU
@sharpiqau · 18+ · Gamble responsibly
// How It Works
THE
METHOD
01

Monte Carlo Simulation

50,000+ simulations per bet to find true probability against Sportsbet lines. No guesswork.

02

Edge Threshold Filter

Only posted when model probability beats implied market probability by more than 5%.

03

SGM Correlation Boost

Team win + same-team player props get a +8–15% correlation adjustment before SGM scoring.

04

Verify, Then Post

Sportsbet match insights and tryscorer screenshots always checked before any pick goes live.

// Sports Covered
🏉 NRL
Anytime Try
First Try · 2+ Tries
Run Metres · Margin
🏀 NBA
Points · Threes
Rebounds · Assists
Blocks
🏈 NFL
Touchdowns
Pass/Rush/Rec Yds
Margin

START
WINNING

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// Free Tool
BANKROLL
CALCULATOR

Use Kelly Criterion to size your bets correctly. Bet too big and variance ruins you. Bet too small and you leave value on the table. This tool tells you the mathematically optimal stake based on your edge.

Edge —
EV per $100 staked —
Full Kelly Stake —
½ Kelly Stake (recommended) —
¼ Kelly Stake (conservative) —
⚡ WHY HALF KELLY?
Full Kelly maximises long-run growth but causes brutal drawdowns. Half Kelly gives ~75% of the growth with much less variance. Most professional bettors use ½ Kelly or less. Never bet more than full Kelly — ever.